Methodology for Determining the Optimal Strategy for Sustainable Development of Regional Economic Systems in the Context of Overcoming the Strategic Gap and Balancing the Spatial Distribution of Resources Based on a Generalized Approach Analysis

This study develops and validates an integrated six-dimensional generalized approach (GAP) measurement system for strategic gaps in regional development. The proposed methodology quantitatively assesses disparities between current and target regional states across six resource domains: informational, technical-technological, financial, personnel, organizational, and marketing. The model was tested on 15 Russian regions using correlation and regression modeling to identify statistically significant gaps. The greatest influence is exerted by: the sectoral structure of the economy (=0.32; p<0.01), the quality of the institutional environment (=-0.38; p<0.01) and the level of production diversification (=-0.45; p<0.001). The negative cumulative effect in monospecialized regions is highlighted. Scenario forecasting demonstrates that comprehensive programs combining economic diversification, human capital development, and institutional improvement can reduce strategic gaps by 25%-35% in the medium term (5-7 years). The results provide a foundation for the development of differentiated regional policy. The results of the study allow moving from unified approaches to differentiated regional development regulation and provide a scientific basis for making informed management decisions.

Disproportions; GAP analysis; Regional development; Spatial development; Strategic gaps

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