Published at : 29 Dec 2023
Volume : IJtech
Vol 14, No 8 (2023)
DOI : https://doi.org/10.14716/ijtech.v14i8.6846
Yury R. Nurulin | Higher School of Project Activity and Innovation in Industry Peter the Great St.Petersburg Polytechnic University, Russia, 195251, St.Petersburg, Polytechnicheskaya, 29 |
Inga V. Skvortsova | Higher School of Industrial Management Peter the Great St.Petersburg Polytechnic University, Russia, 195251, St.Petersburg, Polytechnicheskaya, 29 |
Olga A. Konovalova | Higher School of Project Activity and Innovation in Industry Peter the Great St.Petersburg Polytechnic University, Russia, 195251, St.Petersburg, Polytechnicheskaya, 29 |
Economic development,
technological innovation, and policy change are especially prominent factors
shaping energy transitions. The current stage of the energy transition is
distinguished by a qualitatively new level of policy influence on all
components of the energy complex. This policy affects the motivation and
behavior of all stakeholders in the processes of generation, distribution, and
use of energy. In terms of their importance, behavioral aspects have reached
the same level as technology and energy economics. In the article, we analyze
these features of the energy complex and offer modified and refined models for
the innovative development of the energy complex as a socio-technical system. The proposed approach, in which the energy complex
is considered a socio-technical system, can be taken into account when
describing the sectoral innovation system in the energy industry. Considering
the ongoing trends in digitalization and the advancement of cyber-physical
systems, the general principles outlined by the authors for homogeneous
production systems can be applied effectively in the management of projects
related to the development of energy complex subsystems.
Energy complex; Innovation models; Socio-technical approach
The global
energy system has entered a phase of a new energy transition, which is
characterized by the widespread use of renewable energy sources (RES) and the
displacement of fossil fuels (Sovacool, 2016; Zaytsev et al., 2021). From the point of view of innovation management, previous energy
transitions (to coal, oil, gas, and nuclear energy) fit well into the classical
models of the innovation process “science/technology push” and “demand pull”.
Both the new energy generation technologies and the efficiency of new energy
sources were drivers of the previous transitions. The current stage is
characterized by the lack of economic attractiveness of RES compared to fossil
fuels or nuclear energy. Despite the steady trend of reducing the cost of renewable
energy generators and increasing their efficiency, energy production using RES
is still more expensive than traditional energy production (Broom, 2020). The driving force behind the new
energy transition has been the sustainable development goals and climate change
mitigation.
The
current energy transition is studied as a process that contains technical,
economic, and political components (Cherp et al.,
2018). In this process, policy plays a Leading role
by formulating strategic goals and realizing corresponding strategies for the
development of the energy sector (Meadowcroft,
2011). These goals can be ‘carbon-neutral’ or ‘sustainable’, but in any
case, they move the focus of research and investment projects from fossil fuels
and nuclear energy to RES.
Our paper aims to promote an
integrated approach to analyzing the energy sector as a complex system where
processes of production, transition, and use of energy are interconnected, and
the energy transition model described in the paper captures the dynamics of
this system. From a systemic perspective, renewable energy sources (RES) and
"traditional" energy should not be viewed as opposites but rather as
complementary technologies, each occupying its own niche. Even in contemporary
economic conditions, where the production cost of traditional energy is
relatively low, renewable energy can still be cost-effective. It is relevant to
apply a holistic approach to the analysis and design of complex energy
facilities as a system, which contains technical, organizational, and social
subsystems considered in interaction.
A holistic approach to the study predetermined the
need for the convergence of three different approaches to the problem under
consideration: models of innovation that form the basis of innovation systems
in the energy sector, models of a homogeneous production environment describing
the technical nature of the energy system, and a socio-technical approach,
describing the energy sector from a management point of view.
2.1. Models of innovation
In the development of the classic
innovation process models in the late 90s of the last century, Henry Etzkowitz
and Loet Leydesdorff proposed the 'Triple Helix' model of the innovation
ecosystem in the form of intertwined and closely interacted authorities,
scientific organizations, and industrial enterprises (Etzkowitz and Leydesdorff, 2000). Subsequently, Elias Carayannis and David Campbell expanded the
composition of the key "helixes" of the innovation system and
included the "fourth helix," which is based on stakeholders who
explicitly and implicitly use information systems and social media
communication tools for decision-making and have own preference systems based
on culture and knowledge system (Carayannis and Campbell, 2009).
It is necessary to analyze how these models are adequate to modern trends in
the development of the energy complex.
2.2. Homogeneous production environments
Production systems built on the principles of parallel
execution of operations, structure variability, and structural homogeneity are
called homogeneous production environments (HPE) (Konovalova, Nurulin,
and
Redko, 2020). This approach is actively used in the
innovative development of structural solutions for production systems of
material objects (Konovalova, 2021; Malindzak et al., 2017). Such systems have practically unlimited
possibilities for changing their performance by changing the number and
functionality of elementary production modules (EPM).
2.3. Socio-technical approach
The socio-technical approach, serving as a doctrine for the
organization of activities and encompassing a set of methods and techniques
used in the analysis and synthesis of systems with distinctive properties, has
been evolving since the middle of the last century.
The recognized founders of research on this issue are Eric
Trist and Fred Emery, who proposed the term "socio-technical system"
in the 1960s and developed a socio-technical approach to the analysis and
synthesis of organizational systems. This approach was further developed within
the framework of the socio-technical model proposed by Harold Leavitt, which
includes four interacting and coordinated dimensions - people, task, structure,
and technology - as important components of the organizational system of work (Verbong
and Geels, 2010).
A significant contribution to the development of the
socio-technical approach was made by Christopher Freeman (Freeman, 1995), Frank Geels (Geels and Schot,
2007), and other
developers of innovation theory, who substantiated the socio-technical nature
of innovation systems and proposed a set of conceptual models of the innovation
process. Research on innovation systems, in particular, has influenced the
understanding of the dynamics of socio-technical change, including the links
between knowledge and technology, institutions, actors, and networks.
The energy system has traditionally been the focus of
research for innovation managers. A number of studies have focused on
supply-side issues, discussing a wide range of issues ranging from the
comparative characteristics of different generation equipment to existing
institutional barriers to expanding the use of renewable energy sources (Watson,
2008; Foxon et al., 2005). In the context of the transition to RES, energy
distribution infrastructure is becoming a key factor for the introduction of renewable
energy technologies, improving energy efficiency and managing the balance of
supply and demand of energy (Bolton and Foxon,
2015, ). With the development of RES, the number of energy
generation points in the energy system increases sharply, and the energy system
itself acquires pronounced features of a homogeneous distributed system. An
obstacle to this can be ineffective or absent legislative norms regulating
procedures for connecting new suppliers to electric grids (Nurulin, Skvortsova,
and
Vinogradova, 2020).
At the same time, in combination with
innovative technologies of “traditional” micro-generation, RES can provide
effective solutions for energy supply to remote regions where energy
distribution infrastructure is underdeveloped or absent altogether. Taking into
account the well-known dependence of some RES technologies on climatic
characteristics (Krasniqi, Dimitrieska, and Lajqi,
2022; Brazovskaia and Gutman, 2021), the problem of energy storage comes to the fore.
This problem has innovation-technical components (using different technologies
for storage), economic components (additional costs for storage), and social
components (stakeholders’ behavior). The same components play a key role in the
tasks of energy efficiency and energy saving in different subject areas (Himeur et al., 2021; Lapillonne, Sudries, and Payan, 2021; Tzeiranaki et al., 2019). These studies are generally limited to covering only technical and
economic factors, while the political, social, and behavioral aspects of the
proposed changes and possible social impacts are left to the discretion of the
end user.
The above indicates the need for
further development of an integrated interdisciplinary approach that takes into
account the mutual influence of technical, organizational, economic, social,
and behavioral components of the energy complex. In relation to the energy
sector, traditional models of innovation require some clarifications related to
the peculiarities of the structure of the system, the increasing role of
authorities, and taking into account the socio-technical nature of the energy
system.
3.1. Energy complex as a
homogeneous production environment
The equipment required for the production, supply, and use of
energy has the following properties.
Parallelism (multiplicity) of
operations. This way of performing operations involves the parallel operation
of both individual subsystems and the execution of parallel operations
(multiplicity of operations) in each subsystem.
In the limit, the multiplicity of operations ensures the
execution of any operation at any point in the production space, which makes it
possible to achieve the necessary flexibility and versatility of the system
with high performance.
The variability of the system structure implies the
possibility of changing the composition of elements and the relationships
between them, as well as the restructuring of the internal structure of
elements. The structure variability property provides the possibility of
implementing a large number of different functional structures based on the
same set of elements and relationships between them.
Constructive homogeneity. Effective
functioning and a high level of unification in complex systems are achieved due
to the structural homogeneity of the elements and the connections between them.
This allows us to represent the system as a set of elements of the same type
with the same connections between neighboring elements. The production of the
system is simplified to the repetitive replication of the same structural
element, known as an elementary production module. This approach enables
extensive parallel work to be conducted simultaneously on numerous elements and
their connections during manufacturing, commissioning, and operation.
Failures of individual modules do not violate the functional
completeness of the system but only temporarily reduce its performance. This
property of the HPE makes it possible to ensure the non-redundancy of layout
solutions that best meet the changing conditions of the production system.
The main advantage of the GPS is its high survivability. The
absence of centralized general-purpose subsystems, the functional completeness
of modules, and their management by local control systems ensure the operation
of the HPE in the event of equipment or software failures.
The second important advantage of HPE is its easy adaptability
to required production volume with practically unlimited productivity. The
required volume of the HPE, i.e., the number of modules, can be achieved
without a lengthy system redesign process using the HPE scalability property.
The next advantage of the HPE is associated with a significant
simplification of requirements for the manufacture of modules and their
connection into a single structure. The terms of the HPE manufacturing,
delivery, and implementation as well as the necessary volume of spare parts,
are significantly reduced, and troubleshooting and training of maintenance
personnel are facilitated.
The HPE performance increases significantly in case the
information and material links exist constantly and do not require additional
means and time for formation and reconfiguration.
To concentrate EPM modules on a common task, it is necessary
to set the structure of the local EPM, organize the exchange of information and
material objects, and manage this combination of modules. Such an approach to
the creation of production systems provides ample opportunities for the
development of the system and for the achievement of required parameters.
In the energy complex, the HPE principles can be most
effectively implemented in the power transmission subsystem within the
framework of the smart grid concept. The transition to RES has led to a
multiple increase in the number of energy generators integrated into a single
energy system and opens up new prospects for using the HEP principles in the
development of the energy sector.
3.2. Hierarchic
innovation model
The well-known innovation models reflect the various stages of
energy development quite well. The nuclear power industry can be a vivid
example of the “science/technology push” model: nuclear power plants appeared
as a result of the transfer of military nuclear technologies to the power
industry. Natural gas liquefaction and transportation technologies began to
develop as a response of the scientific and technological sector to market
demands for the transportation of natural gas over long distances without the
use of pipelines (the “market pull” innovation model).
Until the beginning of our century, innovations in the energy
complex were described quite well by the above models. But then politics came
to the fore. To achieve their geopolitical goals, states use both economic
mechanisms (subsidies, tax breaks, tariff regulation) and non-economic measures
to control energy markets (industry standards for fuel and vehicles, forced
closure of coal mines and nuclear power plants etc.). The ideas of climate
change mitigation and decarbonization are being actively exploited, and a
system of CO2 emissions trading is being introduced. All these
measures are caused not so much by scientific and technological solutions or
market demand as by political decisions. As a result, the current stage of the
innovation process in the energy complex can be characterized as a “policy push
and pull" hierarchical model (Figure 1).
3.3. Socio-technical approach
A number of authors use
the concept of a socio-technical regime to analyze the energy complex (Verbong and Geels, 2010; Stegmaier, Visser, and Kuhlmann, 2021). According to
this concept, the socio-technical regime consists of three dimensions: a)
material and technical elements, such as resources, network infrastructure,
generating plants, etc.; b) networks of actors and social groups, such as
utilities, ministries, large industrial customers and households; c) formal,
normative, and cognitive rules that govern actors, such as rules, belief
systems, guidelines, search heuristics, behavioral norms (Verbong
and Geels, 2010).
When analyzing the energy complex, Cherp et al.
identified three different types of systems:
(1) techno-economic systems defined by energy flows associated
with energy extraction, conversion, and use processes involved in energy
production and consumption as coordinated by energy markets;
(2) socio-technical systems delineated by knowledge,
practices, and networks associated with energy technologies; and
(3) system of political actions influencing energy-related
policy (Cherp et al., 2018).
In doing so, the life cycle of the energy complex product
(energy) is considered as the main systemic feature only for the
techno-economic system and is not explicitly taken into account in other
subsystems. Furthermore, politics has become detached from the economy;
however, today, it is politics that shapes the economy and establishes
corresponding norms and rules for the behavior of energy market participants.
While generally supporting the proposed composition of the
main elements of the energy complex, we nevertheless consider it more
appropriate to use the term "energy system" when analyzing these
elements and the complex as a whole. In addition, we propose to redistribute
the content for the selected dimensions. Levels a) and b) should consist of
categories that can be formally described using quantitative estimates, and
level c) should combine categories that can only be described qualitatively
with relatively weak formalization. Level b) will integrate a network of actors
and social groups, as well as norms and rules governing their activities, and
level c) will contain cognitive components (information and knowledge), belief
systems, guidelines, and norms of behavior. The essential elements of level b)
should be economic relations that determine the rules for interaction between
subjects of the energy market.
Figure 1 Hierarchical triple helix
model of innovation in the energy sector
Summing up the discussion, we propose the following structure
and composition of the energy complex as a socio-technical system (Figure 2).
3.4. Energy complex from the
perspective of proposed models: case from the Russian Federation
Russia is rightfully considered one of the leading producers
of energy resources. Its innovation system ensures the development of the
energy complex according to the model presented in Figure 2.
State policy at the national level. In 2011, by
Decree of the President of the Russian Federation on July 7, 2011, N 899, a
list of federal-level critical technologies was approved, including:
- Technologies of new and renewable energy sources, including
hydrogen energy.
- Technologies of
energy-efficient production and conversion of energy on organic fuel.
- Technologies for creating energy-saving systems for the transportation,
distribution, and use of energy.
As follows from this list, these technologies reflect the
processes of production, supply, and use of energy. Their development is
supported within the framework of existing federal programs that provide funding
for fundamental and applied R&D in the energy sector. These R&D are
aimed at increasing the share of low-carbon energy generation, implementing the
concept of smart grids in the energy sector, and developing microgeneration and
RES.
In subsequent years, a number of regulatory
documents were adopted at the federal level, clarifying and detailing the
identified priorities. Energy efficiency and energy saving have been identified
as priority areas for the development of science, engineering, and technology
at the federal level. The implementation of relevant technologies is supported
by relevant standards, norms, and methodological documents.
Figure 2 Energy complex as a socio-technical system
State policy at the industry level. This level of
the energy complex in the Russian Federation is represented by the Ministry of
Energy, which initiates the development of the regulatory framework for the
energy industry and manages state programs for the development of the energy
complex. The main emphasis in these programs is placed on subsystems of energy
generation and supply, where federal generating and grid companies play a key
role.
State policy at the regional level. All regions of
the Russian Federation have their own state organizations which manage the
energy complex in the region.
Science. Using
foresight technology, scientific organizations provide long-term forecasts for the development of the energy sector, which forms the basis for
strategic political decisions on the development of the energy complex (Makarov, Mitrova, and Kulagin, 2019).
Business. Market interaction between business
organizations in the Russian energy sector is strongly influenced by politics,
which is manifested through state regulation of tariffs for electricity and
heat consumption, state subsidies for modernization of generating and grid
technologies and equipment, as well as by guaranteed purchase of electricity
generated by RES. Additionally, strict requirements are imposed on public
organizations to reduce energy consumption.
The socio-technical
approach in the energy complex development. The potential of the socio-technical approach
is most prominently demonstrated in the energy use subsystem. Effectively
addressing priorities in energy conservation necessitates the integration of
technical solutions focused on minimizing energy resource losses during
utilization, along with a deliberate shift in the motivation and behavior
system of end users of these resources. This task is of particular importance
in cases where end users do not have direct economic motivations for energy
saving (schools, hospitals, universities, etc.). Realizing this, the Russian
authorities are implementing a number of programs and activities at the federal
and regional levels aimed at involving all stakeholders - from schoolchildren
to municipal employees - in innovative projects for the development of
energy-saving technologies in housing and communal services, as well as at
shaping their energy-efficient behavior.
All of the above is largely true not only for
the Russian energy complex but also reflects the general trends in the
development of global energy. This conclusion is confirmed by the results of
five projects of the European programs INTERREG (Interreg,
2023) and CBC ENI (CBC, 2023), which
were implemented in 2018-2022. Comparative analysis and joint research of
priorities, methods, and tools for the development of subsystems of the energy
complex in Russia and European countries, which were carried out within the
framework of these projects with the participation of the authors of this article,
showed the invariance and perspectives of this approach.
By its nature, energetics is a complex multicomponent system.
The proposed models for the innovative development of this system take into
account the socio-technical nature of the processes of generation,
distribution, and use of energy, as well as the leading role of the authorities
in determining policies and strategies for the development of the energy sector
within the current energy transition. When describing
a sectoral innovation system in the energy sector, the relevant state
structures should be considered not as its external environment but as
participants with specific functions. Managers of innovation projects in the
energy sectors should consider representatives of the relevant authorities as
key stakeholders or even as project participants. Energy sector development projects should be guided
by the general principles of socio-technical and homogeneous production
systems. A restraining factor and limitation in this regard may be the high
degree of technical (technological) diversity of energy generation equipment
and systems. Further development of the principle of convergence
of innovation management methods, a socio-technical approach, and a homogeneous
production environment is expected in the direction of cyber-physical systems,
where information and knowledge play a leading role at all stages of the
development process.
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