Published at : 29 Dec 2023
Volume : IJtech
Vol 14, No 8 (2023)
DOI : https://doi.org/10.14716/ijtech.v14i8.6836
Aleksandr Babkin | Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Polytechnicheskaia Str., 29, Saint Petersburg, 195251, Russia |
Elena Shkarupeta | 1. Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Polytechnicheskaia Str., 29, Saint Petersburg, 195251, Russia, 2. Voronezh State Technical University, 20-letiia Oktiabria Str., 84, Voronezh |
Ekaterina Malevskaia-Malevich | Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Polytechnicheskaia Str., 29, Saint Petersburg, 195251, Russia |
Ekaterina Pogrebinskaya | 1. Financial University Under the Government of the Russian Federation, Leningradsky ave., 49, Moscow, 125167, Russia, 2. Sechenov University, Trubetskaya str, 8, Building 2, Moscow, 119991, Russia |
Louise Batukova | Siberian Federal University, Svobodny ave., 79, Krasnoyarsk, 660041, Russia |
The primary objective of this research endeavor is
the conceptualization and operationalization of the 'Circular Maturity'
construct within the context of industrial ecosystems. A comprehensive
evaluative framework is developed, designed to assess circularity in alignment
with thresholds that are environmentally, socially, and economically
acceptable, commonly encapsulated as ESG results. This framework incorporates a
multifaceted system for the governance of circularity, integrating diverse
measures, functions, principles, strategies, business models, and circular
solutions across various stages of the value chain. Utilization of information,
finances, resources, human capital, platforms, and collaborative mechanisms is
envisaged to mitigate external risks and challenges. Key driver projections,
namely circular potential, circular activity, and
circular efficiency are formulated for the governance of circularity and the
enhancement of circular maturity at the corporate level. The applicability and
efficacy of the proposed framework are validated through a case study involving
the industrial ecosystem of Novolipetsk Metallurgical Combinate (NLMK) in
Russia.
Circular maturity; Circularity; Industrial ecosystem; NLMK
As Earth's biocapacity approaches its limits, and with climate policies and regulations on carbon emissions tightening globally (Berawi, 2020), coupled with the volatility in prices and demand for fossil resources, it becomes crucial to transition from a linear to a circular model of production and consumption in industrial ecosystems (Khaykin and Babkin, 2022). Numerous studies have considered circularity in industrial ecosystems at different levels (Krmela, Simberová, and Babica, 2022; Ilyina, 2022; Kulibanova et al., 2022; Shkarupeta and Ilyina, 2022), proposing approaches to assessing circularity (Khan et al., 2023; Kuzior, Arefiev, and Poberezhna, 2023; The Circularity Gap Report, 2022; Vinante et al., 2021; Bogdanovich-Irina, Kistaeva-Natalia, and Egorova-Svetlana, 2020; Mayer et al., 2019; Haas et al., 2015) and circular maturity (Uztürk and Büyüközkan, 2022), as well as analyzing mechanisms of transition from linear economy to closed-loop economy (Pichlak and Szromek, 2022; Doszhan et al., 2022; Gileva and Shkarupeta, 2022; Surovitskaya, 2021; Umarova, 2021; Liu and Stephens, 2019).
On the other hand, however, no comprehensive studies
have been carried out on circularity management in industrial ecosystems aimed
at improving their circular maturity at the corporate level. For this reason,
the given problem requires careful, further thorough exploration.
Managing circularity in industrial ecosystems is
understood as an array of measures ensuring positive dynamics of circular
maturity in industrial ecosystems, accounting for the risks and challenges of
the external environment based on specific functions, principles, strategies,
business models, circular solutions, and technologies introduced at different
stages of the value chain using information, finances, resources, human
capital, platforms, and collaborative mechanisms to achieve a high circularity index,
a complex of long-term ESG effects, ultimately creating a mature circular
ecosystem. We thoroughly explored the concept of industrial ecosystems based on
sustainable business models incorporating eco-innovation and circularity in the
context of the transition to Industry 5.0 in our earlier papers (Babkin, and Shkarupeta, 2022; Babkin et al., 2022;
Babkin et al., 2021).
Circular maturity serves as a metric to quantify the
level of circular development within an industrial ecosystem. It is defined as
an aggregate indicator that characterizes the degree of circularity in the
ecosystem, taking into account the adoption of circular principles, factors,
strategies, and circular business models. Key drivers projected to influence
circular maturity in an industrial ecosystem include circular potential,
circular activity, and circular efficiency.
In general, the existing techniques for assessing
circularity allow classifying metrics related to the generally accepted
principles, such as resource consumption and recovery (Zaytsev
et al., 2021), circular product design, and waste generation.
Sufficient metrics are yet to be devised for certain areas (for example,
employee training, economic indicators, etc.). In addition, existing studies
assessing the circular maturity of industrial ecosystems at the corporate level
have certain limitations. This primarily concerns the system of indicators for
assessing the circular maturity of ecosystems. Integral indicators describe
recycling and symbiosis within the ecosystem from different perspectives but do
not consider the dynamics of circularity in industrial ecosystems (Umarova, 2021). As a result, different estimates
may be obtained for the circular maturity of industrial ecosystems.
Furthermore, the framework for assessing the circularity of an industrial
ecosystem should be equipped with a predictive function determining the
circularity relative to the environmentally, socially, and economically
acceptable thresholds (ESG results), answering four key questions:
• What is the
general level of circular maturity in industrial ecosystems?
• How does the
circular maturity vary over time in an industrial ecosystem?
• Which factors
make the smallest and the greatest contribution to the final index of circular maturity in the industrial ecosystem?
• What are the
challenges facing sustainable ESG practices in industrial ecosystems, and what methods are available for resolving them?
The research
methodology is based on existing theoretical approaches to developing
industrial ecosystems, the nature and the evolution of the circular economy and
the areas under its umbrella, integration of modern literature and cooperation
with experts, a framework for developing industrial ecosystems, techniques, and
procedures for assessing circular maturity at the national, sectoral and
corporate levels. The study fundamentally relies on the dialectical approach,
also using the systemic, complex, interdisciplinary, cross-industry, project,
value, holistic approaches, analysis based on the tools available from the WEF
Strategic Intelligence Platform, content analysis, comparative analysis, method
of taxonomic components, method of strategic maps, integral method, linear
normalization, computational data analysis, desk research, analysis of
published research, qualitative and quantitative data analysis, data-driven
management by exception, ranking, triangulation of aggregated data with other
established sources, benchmarking, etc.
The framework we have developed
for assessing the circular maturity of an industrial ecosystem at the corporate
level includes several stages shown in Figure 1.
Figure 1 Framework for assessing the circular maturity of
the industrial ecosystem at the corporate level
Stage 1. Constructing a system of
indicators.
The proposed system of indicators for
assessing the circular maturity of the industrial ecosystem at the corporate
level (Table 1) includes 13 indicators distributed over three driver
projections: circular potential, circular activity, and circular efficiency.
Table 1 System of Indicators for assessing the circular maturity of the industrial
ecosystem at the corporate level
Driver projection |
Indicator |
Notation |
Unit |
1 Circular potential |
1.1 Total investments |
X1 |
million USD |
1.2 Investment projects in
environmental protection |
X2 |
million USD | |
1.3 Cost of employee training |
X3 |
million USD | |
1.4 Number of training
conducted: employee training |
X4 |
thousand sessions | |
2 Circular activity |
2.1 Current environmental
protection costs |
X5 |
million USD |
2.2 Labor productivity |
X6 |
tons of steel per capita | |
2.3 Number of suppliers with
measures to improve environmental compliance |
X7 |
% | |
2.4 Environmental audits for
suppliers of raw materials and equipment |
X8 |
units | |
3 Circular efficiency |
3.1 Lost time injury frequency
rate |
X9 |
coefficient |
3.2 Share of recycled water in
total water consumption |
X10 |
% | |
3.3 Specific atmospheric
emissions |
X11 |
kg/ton of steel | |
3.4 Recycling of secondary raw
materials |
X12 |
% | |
3.5 Specific energy intensity |
X13 |
Gcal/ton |
Source:
developed by the authors on the basis of (The Circularity Gap Report, 2022)
The approach based on identifying
three driver projections allows us to balance low scores with respect to one
projection with high scores with respect to another projection. The three
projections compensate for a relatively large number of indicators and improve
the analytic capabilities of the technique developed.
where is the sub-index of circularity for each of the three estimated projections;
n is the number of indicators;
is the value of the ith indicator in the tth industrial ecosystem;
is the minimum value of the ith indicator;
is the maximum value of the ith indicator.
Stage 7. Calculating the integral index
of circular maturity.
All projections also have equal weight
for estimating the integral index of circular maturity of industrial ecosystems
(2):
where is the integral index of circularity in industrial ecosystems;
N is the total number of estimated
indicators;
The proposed framework
for assessing the circular maturity of the industrial ecosystem at the
corporate level was validated using the data for the industrial ecosystem of
the NLMK Group for 2016–2020. The NLMK group was chosen for study for several
reasons. As one of the largest international producers of steel, NLMK Group is
aware of its responsibility to society, nature, and future generations. The
sustainable development of the NLMK Group is regulated by a range of internal
documents. The NLMK production facilities are part of a closed-loop economy:
100% of the products can be involved in recycling and reprocessing, and 35% of
the NLMK steel is produced with ferrous scrap. Closed-loop water supply is
organized at fourteen NLMK enterprises. The goal of the 2022 Strategy is to
maintain the share of recycled water supply in terms of production growth at
the level of at least 96% (NLMK, 2022).
The
data for calculating the circular maturity of the industrial ecosystem of the
NLMK Group are given in Table 2. The source of initial data for calculating the
circular maturity was the environmental, social, governance (ESG) databook.
Table 2 Data for calculating the circular maturity
of the industrial ecosystem of the NLMK Group
Indicator |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
X1 |
558.60 |
592.00 |
680.00 |
1,080.00 |
1,124.00 |
X2 |
54.00 |
33.00 |
80.00 |
78.00 |
82.00 |
X3 |
3.36 |
4.50 |
4.81 |
5.47 |
19.17 |
X4 |
53.40 |
55.40 |
52.50 |
52.90 |
52.90 |
X5 |
73.00 |
90.00 |
95.00 |
124.00 |
101.00 |
X6 |
482.05 |
501.96 |
503.33 |
448.49 |
461.00 |
X7 |
30.00 |
69.00 |
80.00 |
41.00 |
38.00 |
X8 |
21.00 |
36.00 |
39.00 |
34.00 |
13.00 |
X9 |
0.85 |
1.12 |
0.77 |
0.86 |
1.25 |
X10 |
96.30 |
96.40 |
96.50 |
96.60 |
96.60 |
X11 |
19.97 |
19.55 |
18.95 |
20.19 |
19.80 |
X12 |
90.00 |
91.00 |
93.00 |
99.00 |
99.00 |
X13 |
5.60 |
5.49 |
5.47 |
5.64 |
5.55 |
Source: compiled by the authors on the basis
of (NLMK, 2021)
We
computed the arithmetic mean, considering both the positive and negative
influence of the variables, and obtained the following values for the
circularity sub-indices and the integral circularity index of the NLMK Group's
industrial ecosystem (Table 3).
Table 3 Sub-indices of circular maturity and the
integral circularity index in the industrial ecosystem of the NLMK Group
Sub-index |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
Sub-index of circular potential |
0.185 |
0.283 |
0.316 |
0.528 |
0.784 |
Sub-index of circular activity |
0.230 |
0.743 |
0.858 |
0.507 |
0.234 |
Sub-index of circular efficiency |
0.231 |
0.402 |
0.800 |
0.545 |
0.565 |
Integral index of circular maturity |
0.215 |
0.476 |
0.658 |
0.527 |
0.528 |
The sub-index of circular activity exhibits the greatest
volatility, with the maximum reached in 2018 (0.858) and the minimum in 2016
(0.23). The maximum level of circular activity was observed for the NLMK Group
in 2017 and 2018. The main factor in the negative trend of the declining
sub-index of circular activity was a sharp reduction in the number of
environmental audits conducted for suppliers of raw materials, materials, and
equipment: from 39 in 2018 and 34 in 2019 to 13 in 2020. The sub-index of
circular efficiency also decreased from 0.8 in 2018 to 0.565 in 2020. In this
case, the factors were an increase in lost time injury frequency rate (LTIFR)
from 0.77 in 2018 to 1.25 in 2020, an increase in atmospheric emissions from 18.95
kg/ton of steel in 2018 to 20.19 kg/t of steel in 2019 and 19.8 kg/t of steel
in 2020, increase in energy intensity from 5.47 Gcal/ton in 2018 to 5.64
Gcal/ton in 2019 and 5.55 Gcal/ton in 2020.
The sub-index of circular potential exhibited consistent
positive dynamics during 2016–2020. This is explained by the growth in
investments, both total, for environmental protection and for employee
training. The circular maturity of the NLMK Group's industrial ecosystem
exhibited growth from 2016 to 2018. The maximum circularity index of NLMK
Group's industrial ecosystem was observed in 2018, subsequently decreasing in
2019. The level of circular maturity was maintained at the same level in 2020.
The following factors accelerate circularity in the NLMK
Group's industrial ecosystem: increasing investments, investment projects in
environmental protection, costs of employee training, current environmental
protection costs, the share of recycled water in total water consumption, and
recycling of secondary raw materials. The following factors hinder the circular
development of the NLMK Group: reduction in the number of employees, number of
training conducted, labor productivity, number of suppliers with measures to
improve environmental compliance, environmental audits of suppliers, increase
in LTIFR, and energy intensity of products. A decrease in the circular maturity
of the NLMK Group's industrial ecosystem was observed in 2019 and 2020 due to
external challenges, such as export duties on metal products, volatility of raw
materials markets, and unscheduled repairs at the Lipetsk site aimed at
debottlenecking to increase the production capacity. The ongoing COVID-19
pandemic, disrupting the supply chains, including investment projects, has
required additional resilience from the NLMK Group.
An effective system for managing circularity in industrial ecosystems is essential to address the negative trends and issues mentioned above and to accelerate circularity (Figure 2).
Figure 2 System for
managing circular development in industrial ecosystems
Support subsystems for managing circularity in industrial
ecosystems include information, financial, natural resources, human capital,
and stakeholders. A favorable environment promoting growth is also an important
part of the support subsystem for managing circularity in industrial
ecosystems.
The environmental subsystem includes an increased load on the
Earth's biocapacity, depletion of natural resources, and a considerable
ecological footprint. Other major factors affecting circularity in industrial
ecosystems include economic sanctions, altering the supply chains, and
hindering access to technologies, but also stimulating import substitution and
innovations to replace imported goods in industrial sectors and post-pandemic
recovery of industrial ecosystems. The observed reduction in greenhouse gas
emissions due to the COVID-19 pandemic is projected to have only a moderate
impact on long-term emission trends. Nevertheless, there is a concurrent trend
of tightening climate policies and regulations, particularly regarding carbon
emissions.
The target subsystem for managing circularity in industrial
ecosystems is intended to provide an environmentally safe and socially
equitable space, growth of social welfare, minimize waste and losses, replenish
resources based on more environmentally friendly supply chains, create a mature
circular ecosystem, etc. The circular ecosystem is understood in this study as
a network of organizations cooperating and interacting to promote a favorable
environment for collective transformations enabling entire value chains (or
individual industries or regions) to adopt circular practices.
Management subsystem (entities managing circularity in
industrial ecosystems) includes the actors of the circular ecosystem, as well
as the management of industrial ecosystems, industrial and eco-industrial
parks, clusters, etc. The Managed subsystem (i.e., the object controlled to improve
circularity in the industrial ecosystem) is the circularity evolution in
industrial ecosystems. The levels at which circularity is managed in industrial
ecosystems include the macro level (global, all sectors and industries),
meso-level (national/state, sector, industry), micro-level (company level
including corporations, multinational companies with multiple branches around
the world, integrated structures, production facilities/divisions and assembly
lines for products/processes).
Classical functions have been chosen for the system managing
circularity in industrial ecosystems, including goal setting, planning,
organization, motivation, coordination, regulation, monitoring and evaluation,
and control. The principles for managing circularity in industrial ecosystems
include: the elimination of waste and pollution, circulation of products and
materials at their highest cost, environmental restoration, resource and impact
decoupling, improving efficiency. The stages of managing circularity in
industrial ecosystems include: design, sourcing, production, logistics, markets
and sales, consumption, recycling of disposed products, reverse logistics.
Strategies for managing circularity in industrial ecosystems include:
recycling, efficient resource use, integration of renewable energy sources,
restoration, reconstruction and recycling of products and components, prolonging
the product life, product as service, sharing models, modifying the consumer
behavior.
The circular business models in the management system include
the holistic circular business model canvas, the ReSOLVE framework, the
ENVISAGE model, the GRID business model, hybrid types of circular business
models, industrial symbiosis, as well as five business models with respect to
the value chain (circular supplies, product life extension, reusing waste,
sharing platforms, product as a service). The following circular solutions can
be used for managing circularity in industrial ecosystems (The Circularity Gap Report, 2022): efficient
design and use of information and communication technologies (ICTs) and digital
technologies, circular healthcare system, durable consumer products, effective
design and use of consumer products, circular consumables, chemical-free
practices, reduction of transportation and travel, vehicle design improvement,
resource-efficient technologies, natural solutions for production, reduction of
excess consumption, circular raw materials, infrastructure, vehicles,
durability of machinery, equipment, vehicles, design improvements of vehicles.
Three large groups of technologies can be used to accelerate circularity in
industrial ecosystems: digital, physical, and biological technologies.
The system for managing circularity in industrial ecosystems
must take into account the risks, including the tightening of climate policies
in the world, carbon emission regulations, high costs of circular solutions
(short-term losses for long-term benefits), decrease in fossil resource
exports, volatile prices for fossil resources, etc.
It seems reasonable to establish a digital platform for
accelerating the circular economy in the Russian Federation as part of the
platform subsystem for managing circularity in industrial ecosystems. Such a
platform has already been created at the global level. Since 2018, the Platform
for Accelerating the Circular Economy (PACE) has become a global collaboration
platform for key public and private decision-makers to share vision best
practices and scale the circular economy together. Nearly 100 leaders from
governments, companies and civil society across continents and sectors have
joined the PACE Leadership Group to help accelerate the transition to a
circular economy globally. Collaborative subsystem for managing circularity in
industrial ecosystems allows for the creation and development of formal and
informal communities based on the quintuple helix innovation model (academia +
industry + government + society + environment). The resulting subsystem is
intended for achieving the goals of managing circularity in industrial
ecosystems, i.e., reaching a high level of the circularity index, as well as
establishing a mature circular ecosystem. Effects of managing circularity along
the value chain include direct ESG effects (economic, social, environmental),
spillovers at the macro level, as well as the processing of critical raw
materials, use of biological resources in the industrial sector, product life
extension, and overproduction at the meso- and micro-levels.
The findings of this study align with and extend the existing
body of research on circularity in industrial ecosystems. For instance, the
emphasis on the role of environmental audits resonates with studies that
highlight the importance of supplier engagement in achieving circularity.
However, unlike some studies that report a stable or increasing trend in
circular activities, this research identifies fluctuations in circular maturity
levels attributed to both internal and external factors. The decline in circular
activity and efficiency sub-indices corroborates findings from other studies
that point to the challenges posed by external economic and environmental
factors.
The
study's primary contribution resides in its novel system for managing
circularity in industrial ecosystems, distinguishing it from existing
mechanisms in the industrial economy. This system's potential for generating
synergistic effects is considerable, provided that orchestrated measures are
systematically and coherently implemented across national, sectoral, and
corporate levels. However, the framework is not without limitations. Its
complexity and sensitivity to normalization methods render the estimates
volatile. To enhance the framework's robustness, it is advisable to expand the
sample size and extend the study to other industrial ecosystems beyond the NLMK
Group. While the study focuses on the NLMK Group in Russia, the framework and
findings have broader implications. The challenges and opportunities associated
with managing circularity are not confined to any single geographic or
industrial context. Therefore, the framework could serve as a blueprint for
similar assessments in other industrial ecosystems globally. Future research directions
include the development of a strategic management framework focused on
sustainable ESG practices within the context of circular industrial ecosystems.
Additionally, there is a need to refine managerial practices to better align
with sustainable ESG goals. Such future inquiries could also explore the
applicability of the framework across various sectors, such as construction and
retail, thereby broadening its scope and utility processes.
The
study was supported by the grant of the Russian Science Foundation No.
23-28-01316, «Strategic management of effective sustainable ESG-development of
the multilevel cybersocial industrial ecosystem of type in a circular economy
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