Published at : 27 Dec 2022
Volume : IJtech
Vol 13, No 7 (2022)
DOI : https://doi.org/10.14716/ijtech.v13i7.6212
Nikolay Dmitriev | Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Polytechnicheskaya str., 29, 195251, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation |
Andrey Zaytsev | Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, Polytechnicheskaya str., 29, 195251, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation |
Rinat Faizullin | MIREA – Russian Technological University, Vernadsky ave., 78, 119454, Moscow, Russian Federation |
Dmitry Bunkovsky | East Siberian institute of the Ministry of internal affairs of Russia, Lermontov str., 110, 664074, Irkutsk, Russian Federation |
Innovative development ensures high efficiency and competitiveness in production. However, project activities and sufficient investments are needed in order to encourage innovation. In this way, the relevance of studying the feasibility of project activities in the context of innovative development is growing. This study is aimed at developing tools for auditing the innovative potential of an enterprise, which could be used for investigating the relationships between the dynamics of the innovative potential and the project performance figures grouped by investment categories. The paper examines the impact of project activities on the innovative potential of an enterprise and its innovative position in the industry. The suggested instrumental approach was tested on some enterprises operating in the construction industry. The testing allowed us to rank the enterpris es in the industry using open data and to study the relationship between the types of investments made into projects by a particular enterprise and its innovative position. To identify the dependencies, we recommend using correlation and regression analysis. The significance of the approach is in its versatility, since it can be adapted to the conditions of operation in any industry, provided there is sufficient data.
Audit activities; Innovation audit; Innovative development; Innovative potential; Instrumental approach
Project activity (PA) is a high-risk field,
that entails many difficulties and may not always result in the effects that
have been originally planned. PA are intended to increase innovation.
Innovation makes it possible to enhance the efficiency of production and
economic activities and channel production capacities towards a predetermined
trajectory (Dvas & Dubolazova, 2018; Gargate, 2018). For an enterprise to be able to conduct PA in
the context of innovative development, auditing is needed for an independent
expert assessment of some elements of business using open data.
With audit activities, the strengths and weaknesses of innovation activities can be effectively evaluated. The analysis can provide sufficient and qualitative information about the potential opportunities and problems of long-term innovative development (Fedotovskaya et al., 2018; Yoon et al., 2015). Since the risk of PA is high, we cannot consider its effect on the innovative development of the subject in detail. In order to fulfill the key provisions of its innovative development strategy, an enterprise has to carry out PA and attract investments to maintain strategic sustainability (Zhu & Wang, 2018).
Thus, the enterprise's innovative potential (IP)
has to be evaluated and the “determinants of development efficiency” identified
in its composition. This identification will help us learn about the
problematic elements of corporate innovation (Kajander et al., 2012). The audit of the IP can be
used for developing approaches to complex problem-solving and improving the
company’s development strategy. Consequently, studying the feasibility of PA of
the enterprise by evaluating the effectiveness of its innovative activity is
extremely relevant. The development strategy determines the number of
opportunities to prevent the financing of expensive and potentially
unsuccessful projects that can be incorporated in the business entity's innovation policy.
The objective of the study is to develop tools for
auditing an enterprise IP, that can be used in the audit for identifying
the relationships between the dynamics of the IP and project performance
figures grouped by investment categories. To achieve this objective, the
authors examine the impact of PA on the IP, propose a system of
indicators based on open data that can be used for assessing the IP of
an enterprise, study the possibility of an audit of the IP to learn
about the relationships between its dynamics and the project performance
figures grouped by investment categories.
The research relies on the authors’ studies in the
fields of project activities, innovative development, investment analysis, and
enterprise economics. The researchers' worldviews and differing opinions ensure a comprehensive
look at an enterprise's IP formation processes and determine the trajectories
for its innovative growth. The research materials were chosen based on the statement that project
activities do not always result in consistent innovative growth, which necessitates
the rational use of financial resources through methods aimed at optimizing
investment activities and reducing potentially inefficient areas.
1.1. Role of project activities in
the formation of innovative potential (IP)
Enterprise management should focus on cost-effective
projects so that the strategic goals of the company can be attained.
Sustainable growth largely depends on PA. PA are expected to
result in intensive business development, with innovations being essential.
This is the way to maximize productivity and reduce costs with minimal capital
investment (Burova et al., 2021; Zaytsev
et al., 2020b; Donbesuur et al., 2020). At the same time, PA are
macroeconomically significant because an entity's IP, as well as that of
territories, industries, and clusters, is dependent on resource efficiency. The
scientific literature highlights that effective PA is grounded on
“innovative thinking”, whose quality affects the ability to stimulate
innovative activity (Kuzovleva et al., 2019).
Traditional
approaches to innovative business development define the structure of the IP
and highlight its individual elements that should be influenced by management
in order to achieve economic growth. Such elements should include human
capital, information, business reputation, technology, and other intangible
assets of an enterprise (Zheng et al., 2018; Christensen, 2001; Westley & Mintzberg, 1989). The instable innovation environment during the 4th
Industrial Revolution can have a negative impact on enterprises that ignore
social, institutional, and innovative factors. Low sustainability indicators
can keep multi-level structures in a trap of socio-economic failure ( Vlasova et al., 2021; Rakhmeeva & Animitsa, 2020;
Thoenig, 2016;). Such a threat is explicit for business structures
that lack a management system aimed at innovative growth or are not involved in
projects that contribute to such growth.
When investing in innovative projects, the rational
use of financial resources is essential for maintaining the sustainability and
competitiveness of enterprises in all industries. However, researchers note
that traditional approaches to choosing innovative projects to be invested in
have a number of serious assumptions due to their complexity and focus on
classified data, which leads to building new economic and mathematical models (Rodionov et al., 2020; Irani, 2010). PA and massive investments can provide a
material basis for long-term development. To reduce risks and potential losses
caused by them in investment activities, the dynamics of the IP should
be considered and the efficiency of project investments should be analyzed (Zhu & Wang, 2018).
The transformation of the economic space and its
transition from the material to the non-material sphere has resulted in the
search for new opportunities to analyze innovation activities. The enterprise IP
is an integral factor in its sustainable development at all levels of
management. In particular, some practical approaches have already been
developed to consider the mechanisms that form the market value by introducing
changes in the IP
(Zaytsev et al., 2020a; Stahle et al., 2011; Greenhalgh & Rogers, 2006). The elements of
the IP can be measured if the overall level of its IP is analyzed
as well as its sufficiency for carrying out certain types of innovation
strategies (Chubai, 2010). PA can resolve the
problems of potential investment barriers, create new prospects for the R&D
of new products, and promote goods on rising markets. However, in order to
achieve these objectives, the intellectual capital management system should be
seen as extremely important, with massive investment in human resources being
needed, which has not yet been highlighted well enough by the scientific
community in the context of IP reproduction (Dmitriev
et al., 2020; Mandych & Bykova, 2019; Roos et al., 2005).
The impact of PA on the state of IP can be analyzed through a whole range of disciplines
such as, mathematics, statistics, cybernetics, and operations research so that
the problems related to the efficiency of manufacturing enterprises can be
tackled. The techniques aimed at doing so should focus on the best allocation
of the limited resources in enterprise investment programs (Colaneri et al., 2021; Demidenko
et al., 2018). However, even if an enterprise can conduct a
fair commercial assessment of investment projects, problems arise in the
external environment due to the non-availability or incompleteness of
information. That is why there is need to improve the methodology of financial
and economic assessment of innovative projects, given various aspects of their
final efficiency (Bril et al., 2018; Sorescu,
2012). One of these aspects
is audit, which is suitable for evaluating certain functions of an enterprise
using open information.
1.2. Auditing the innovative potential (IP)
The requirements for achieving innovative leadership
demonstrate the importance of the efficient allocation of scarce financial
resources. The scientific community uses economic and mathematical modeling for
allocation and management of finance given investment limitations (Dai et al., 2021; Zaytsev et
al., 2021a; 2021c). Auditing is increasingly
important in the process of implementing an innovative development strategy by
both an individual enterprise and entire industries, given the problems that
arise in project finance and in choosing areas for innovative cooperation (Mieke & Specht, 2008). The importance of project investment auditing is
becoming even greater due to the contradictions between shareholders and
managers, where aggravating conflicts may often lead to irrational PA,
which is a serious threat to maintaining the sustainability of the IP (Zaytsev et al., 2021b; Shadova
et al., 2016).
Innovative activity calls for coordinated technical
and managerial decision-making processes, whose effectiveness should be
considered in terms of their significance for the market. This instrumental
significance can be assessed in various ways, for example, on the basis of
auditing, which allows us to identify the mechanisms of formation of the
enterprises IP ( Kosenko et al., 2019; Zheng et al., 2009). The Business Risk Audit (BRA) suggests approaches to
assessing the potential of innovation based on international auditing
standards, but professional and regulatory priorities for determining
enterprise IP have not been developed (Curtis et al., 2016). The researchers note that the lack of consideration
of innovations in PA prevents the innovation system from improving. The
complexity of innovative development programs is forever increasing, while the
identification of complex relationships and patterns makes it possible to
improve the quality of project management if we rely on the knowledge system
that already exists (Kolomiiets & Morozov, 2021). Thus, audit technology is a promising tool for
evaluating the effectiveness of innovations and the efficiency of innovation
activities.
Assessing the enterprise IP is difficult since
information is incomplete and limited. To reduce potential risks, data analytics
should rely on the analysis of available financial statements and industry
averages. The audit can identify specific interactions and problematic elements
of innovative activity in the industry (Austin et al., 2021; Zaytsev et al., 2020c) Auditing is helpful for improving the practice of evaluating innovative
activity based on accounting for large amounts of information in the public
domain. The information on the efficiency of innovative activity and the
problems in various fields can be used for building optimization models of
innovative program performance, with the distribution of cash flows between
investments (Fedotovskaya et al., 2018). Using this information in auditing supplements the
available data on the identified points of innovative growth. The obtained data
and the identified qualitative dependencies between the indicators can be used
to identify critical problems and suggest solutions (Balagobei, 2018; Yoon et al., 2015).
2.1. An algorithm for auditing the innovative
potential (IP)
of an enterprise
Auditing the enterprise IP is based on the
elaboration of an alternative structure of risks and opportunities that may
affect its activities. The heterogeneity of the innovative activity of an
enterprise complicates the classification of innovations in these structures,
which makes a detailed assessment more difficult. Auditing ensures an extensive
investigation into the processes in the company, from collecting internal
information to analyzing the market and industry. We suggest building a
generalized algorithm for the efficiency of the enterprise’s IP
according to the following implementation stages:
1. Analyze the innovative activity: search and analyze
the reports and general information, given the specifics of the company’s
operations.
2. Sort the data: grouping the acquired information
into consistent blocks.
3. Explore the possibilities of detailing the
innovative activity: check if it is possible to correlate any fragments of
information to specific actions.
4. Select the criteria for assessing the IP:
use indicators for the assessment methodology of the enterprise’s IP.
5. Assess the IP according to the criteria that
have been chosen: consider the data obtained in their dynamics.
6. Identify qualitative dependencies: IP as a
performance indicator.
7. Substantiate the result of the audit and suggest
practical recommendations.
This algorithm can help you tackle some problems that
are conceptually significant for the enterprise: obtaining information about
the efficiency of innovative activity, measuring its contribution to the
strategic development of the enterprise; identifying problematic areas based on
the controlled parameters that negatively affect innovative development;
justifying the presence of “innovation gaps” (lagging behind the industry
average or benchmark indicators of innovative growth).
2.2. Methodology for assessing the innovative
potential (IP) of an enterprise
Audit algorithms should consider the need to improve
some fragmentary elements of the development strategy, e.g., the financial and
economic component, the scientific and technological component, and the
investment and value component (selected given the analysis of research from
Section 2). The instrumental approach we suggest takes these aspects into
account. At the same time, in order to consider these tools, the indicators
should be relative and easily adaptable so that different enterprises can be compared
to each other by their IP, regardless of the enterprise’s size or
turnover (selected given the analysis of research from Section 2). It is
suggested that weight coefficients be found based on a machine learning
mechanism, by analyzing the average industry values of as many enterprises as
possible and identifying the normative values of each indicator weight in the
industry.
1. Financial-economic component.
Integral indicator of the financial-economic component:
1.1. Profit
change:
1.2. Profitability change:
1.3. Revenue change:
1.4.
Change in the efficiency indicator of fixed assets:
1.5.
Change in the efficiency indicator of current assets:
Designations: P is the profit; Pg is the
profitability; R is the revenue; Af is the efficiency of the use of fixed
assets; A? is the
efficiency of the use of current assets; n is the current period; a1i
is the weight factor.
2. Scientific-technological
component.
Integral indicator of the scientific-technological component:
2.1.
Change in the share of intellectual property objects in non-current assets:
2.2.
Number of patents and copyright certificates relative to the industry average:
2.3.
Percentage ratio of new technologies relative to the industry average:
2.4. The coefficient of implemented
innovations:
2.5. The
share of employees engaged in R&D relative to the industry average:
Designations: Aip is the share of intellectual property objects in
non-current assets; PCC is the patents and copyright certificates; Tn is the
new technologies; Id is the developed innovations; Ii is the implemented
innovations; R&D is the share of employees engaged in R&D; (s) is the
sector; n is the current period; a2i is the weight factor.
3. Investment value component.
Integral indicator of the investment value component:
3.1.
Change in the market value of the enterprise:
3.2. Change in the investment in
R&D:
3.3. Growth in the profitability
of innovative investments:
3.4. Change in the value of net
assets:
3.5.
Indicator of investment attractiveness relative to the industry average:
Designations: MV is the market value; I(R&D) is the investment
in R&D to total investment; I(%inn) is the profitability of innovative
investments; V(netA) is the value of net assets; IA is the indicator of
investment attractiveness; (s) is the sector; n is the current period; a3i
is the weight factor.
The integrated indicator of the enterprise’s IP
is calculated by formula:
Note: x1,2,3 is the weight coefficient of each component.
The resulting integral value allows us to determine
the qualitative rank of the IP of the enterprise for a specific period
of time. In case the dynamics are analyzed over a long period, the average
level of the IP can be calculated, e.g., for 5 or 10 years. It is also
possible to rank enterprises in the industry and form the dynamics of the
growing IP of the entire industry or consider the differentiation of
enterprises by territory or by other characteristics. At the same time, the
coefficients set for each component can be expanded rather than limited to five
indicators. This will require the use of computing technologies that can analytically
process large amounts of data.
2.3. Relationship between innovative potential (IP) and project activities (PA)
At the next stage, it is proposed to relate the
dynamics of the IP of the enterprise with specific PA.
Econometric tools are suitable for this purpose. We suggest using correlation
and regression analysis for identifying the relationships. Then the generalized
dependence formula can be represented in the following form:
Note: InovP is the integral indicator of the enterprise’s innovative
potential (resulting parameter); Xi is the indicator of project
activities (controlled parameter); zi is the regression
coefficients.
We suggest grouping the project activity indicators by
the following investment categories: X1 is the investment in human
capital; X2 is the investment in R&D; X3 is the
investment in fundamental research; X4 is the investment in
information capital (information space); X5 is the investment in
information and communication technology; X6 is the investment in
the update (modernization) of the fixed assets; X7 is the investment
in the acquisition of production technologies; X8 is the
environmental investment; X9 is the social investment; and X10 is
the investment in high-risk projects and non-core innovations.
In case detailed information on these groups is
unavailable, the number of performance indicators can be either reduced or
changed. However, for objective industry models, the controlled parameters in
the multifactor model should be unvarying for all enterprises. As a result of
the innovation audit, a development map of the enterprise is created, and the
processes are described in detail. These can be combined into an algorithm of
specific actions that have to be taken to achieve the targets.
We recommend that the proposed tools be tested in the
enterprise-related construction sector. We selected 31 enterprises in one
region for the analysis. The necessary data were available for them, so the
weight coefficients could be formed. 7 enterprises with approximately the same
level of assets were selected from the entire set of the enterprises that we
studied.
As a result of the analysis of the data from open sources, we were able to calculate the values for each component of the IP, given the importance of industry coefficients. The weight coefficients of each component acquired the following values: x1 (F&E) is 0.2712; x2 (S&T) is 0.3598; x3 (I&C) is 0.369. Table 1 presents an example of dynamics for enterprise E1 (values are rounded to hundredths). The approximate annual growth of the IP of enterprise E1 amounted to 2.94% over a 10-year period, while the average value of the IP for this period was 1.491. Similar calculations were made for a number of other enterprises in the industry. Table 2 considers the main competitors of this enterprise.
Table 1 Values
of the components of the IP of enterprise ?1
Year: |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
|
F&E? |
1.17 |
1.87 |
2.32 |
2.83 |
4.13 |
4.13 |
3.97 |
3.97 |
3.97 |
3.97 |
4.36 |
|
S&T? |
1.52 |
1.67 |
2.44 |
2.25 |
2.27 |
1.93 |
1.89 |
2.27 |
2.27 |
2.27 |
2.27 |
|
I&C? |
1.98 |
3.14 |
4.52 |
4.70 |
6.35 |
6.03 |
5.49 |
5.49 |
4.94 |
4.45 |
4.45 |
|
InovP |
1.17 |
1.31 |
1.47 |
1.49 |
1.62 |
1.59 |
1.56 |
1.58 |
1.55 |
1.52 |
1.54 |
|
Dynamics: |
- |
12.50% |
11.88% |
1.40% |
8.93% |
-1.90% |
-2.18% |
1.18% |
-1.75% |
-1.66% |
1.00% |
|
Table 2 ?1 Values
of the IP of the enterprises
InovP |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
?1 |
1.17 |
1.31 |
1.47 |
1.49 |
1.62 |
1.59 |
1.56 |
1.58 |
1.55 |
1.52 |
1.54 |
?2 |
1.11 |
1.18 |
1.18 |
1.32 |
1.40 |
1.35 |
1.26 |
1.26 |
1.29 |
1.32 |
1.34 |
?3 |
1.10 |
1.07 |
1.19 |
1.31 |
1.41 |
1.37 |
1.29 |
1.36 |
1.38 |
1.39 |
1.38 |
?4 |
1.12 |
1.15 |
1.18 |
1.23 |
1.33 |
1.31 |
1.29 |
1.27 |
1.29 |
1.27 |
1.31 |
?5 |
1.16 |
1.24 |
1.29 |
1.38 |
1.44 |
1.40 |
1.37 |
1.43 |
1.47 |
1.46 |
1.48 |
?6 |
1.14 |
1.17 |
1.19 |
1.24 |
1.34 |
1.29 |
1.27 |
1.31 |
1.34 |
1.31 |
1.37 |
?7 |
1.07 |
1.18 |
1.30 |
1.36 |
1.48 |
1.43 |
1.40 |
1.44 |
1.48 |
1.44 |
1.43 |
Average
dynamics by industry (%) |
- |
4.54 |
6.38 |
5.94 |
6.01 |
-3.71 |
-3.90 |
2.89 |
2.51 |
1.37 |
1.22 |
Note: E1 - E7 - number of the analyzed enterprises.
The
average annual growth rate of the innovation potential over 10 years is E2
(2.02%); E3 (2.44%); E4 (1.62%); E5 (2.52%); E6 (1.89%); E7 (3.03%). The
average value of the innovation potential over 10 years is E2 (1.274); E3
(1.295); E4 (1.250); E5 (1.375); E6 (1.271); E7 (1.364). The absence of
abnormal spreads is the evidence of a high quality of the model and the low
value of potential errors. The values of the integral indicators for
enterprises that are approximately the same in the industry do not differ much.
Thus, based on 10-year averaged
data, enterprises can be ranked in the industry based on their level of
innovation potential: 1st place is taken by E1 (1.491); 2nd
place by E5 (1.375); 3rd place by E7 (1.364); 4th place
by E3 (1.295); 5th place by E2 (1.274); 6th place by E6
(1.271); 7th by E4 (1.250). At the next step, we suggest exploring
the relationship between the types of investments into projects chosen by a
particular enterprise and its IP. The investments were considered for a
number of enterprises, and the following relationship was revealed: E4 = 0.71 *
X1 – 0.11 * X5 + 1.25 * X6; R2 =
0.89. E6 = 0.39 * X2 + 0.07 * X4 + 0.93 * X6;
R2 = 0.86. E7 = 1.71 * X6 + 1.07 * X7; R2
= 0.76.
The enterprises show a high degree of dependence on
their IP and investments in the updating (modernization) of fixed
assets. Enterprise E4 also generates its IP through investments in human
capital, while investments in information and communication technology have a
negative effect. It predetermines the search for ways to revise the investment
policy. Enterprise E6 also generates its IP through investment in
R&D and slightly through investment in the information space. Enterprise ?7 also
forms its IP through investing in the acquisition of production
technologies.
We can conclude that by auditing the IP during PA,
the problematic areas of investment can be identified and practical
recommendations can be suggested for improving the PA of the enterprise
with a focus on the sustainable growth of its IP, given the economic and
value aspects. These aspects can be supplemented by the approaches proposed in
the following studies (Zaytsev et al., 2020a; Demidenko
et al., 2018; Sorescu, 2012). The significance of the tools suggested by the
authors is confirmed by the versatility of the method and the possibility of
adapting it to the operating conditions of any industry provided there is
sufficient data. Not only does auditing of the IP allow us to study the
“blind spots” of strategic development, but also the internal opportunities for
sustainable growth on the basis of mathematical apparatus. These aspects can be
supplemented by the approaches proposed in the following studies (Austin et al., 2021; Yoon et al., 2015; Zheng et al.,
2009). The results of the audit are significant to create a
foundation for innovations based on rational PA.
To make calculations, we have to access the company’s
reports and statistical data, many of them are freely available. These aspects
can be supplemented by the approaches proposed in the following studies (Balagobei, 2018; Curtis et al., 2016; Chubai, 2010). If some sources are unavailable, the criteria for evaluating industry
efficiency can be adjusted based on expert assessments or through the
mathematical apparatus of similar criteria given the available information. The
model we suggest can be used for analyzing the PA of an enterprise and
identifying the “bottlenecks” of the investment processes in the enterprise.
These aspects can be supplemented by the approaches proposed in the following
studies ( Zaytsev et al., 2021a; 2020b; Zhu & Wang, 2018; Christensen, 2001). The approach we put forward corresponds to the interests of the enterprise
in identifying the trajectory for long-term sustainability.
This study suggests an instrumental approach to
auditing the IP of an enterprise. For this purpose, we place an emphasis
on the investment component of PA. Researchers highlighted that the
audit activities should contribute to a prompt assessment of the impact exerted
by management decisions about investments on the IP, given the
scientific, technological, and economic aspects of the enterprise’s operations.
This practice will largely reduce the risk areas and help rationalize the
management practice since the decision-making process will focus on the
achievement of sustainable innovative growth. The instrumental approach we
suggest has been tested on enterprises in the construction sector, whose IP
and its dynamics were calculated and identified. The absence of a great spread
of indicators over a 10-year period indicates the effectiveness of the authors’
model. The approximate growth of the enterprises’ IP is within the range
of 2-3% per year. At the same time, it is possible to rank enterprises in the
industry. A key limitation is the need to analyze large amounts of data, which
requires using special software and machine learning technologies. An
innovation audit will help you understand not only the weaknesses and gaps in
innovation management but also elaborate on individual aspects of the corporate
growth strategy. For this purpose, regression analysis can be used for
developing controlled parameters in a scheme of practical actions that have to
be taken to implement PA.
The research is partially funded by the Ministry of
Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation under the strategic
academic leadership program 'Priority 2030' (Agreement 075-15-2021-1333 dated
30.09.2021).
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